Drawing the Line; Fight2Win 161 Betting Analysis

Fight2Win 161 is a submission-only grappling event taking place on Friday, January 22, 2021, in Miami, FL, and streamed live on FloGrappling.

Date: January 22, 2021

Location: Miami, FL (Streamed live on FloGrappling)

Start Time: 4PM EST

Betting Cut-off Time: 4PM EST


Roberto Abreu (-300) vs Tim Spriggs (+250)

Prediction: Cyborg is the rightful favorite here. In NOGI, Cyborg has looked unstoppable recently. Tim Spriggs is a veteran but will be facing a size and strength disadvantage. Tim has his work cut out for him here.

Tex Johnson (-200) vs Arnaldo Maidana (+165)

Prediction: Tex Johnson is a leg lock specialist and should get the job done by submission in regulation. Arnaldo will have to fend off submissions for the entire period and get dominant positions to win.

Jason Rau (-155) vs Valdir Araujo (+125)

Prediction: Jason Rau is a leg lock specialist and Matt Serra black belt. He should be able to win here by submission or decision. Valdir is a beast but he doesn’t have the submission skills to beat Rau in this ruleset. His path is to overpower Rau and hold him to a decision.

Diego “Pato” Oliveira (-125) vs Gabriel Sousa (-105)

Prediction: Pato is one of the best-kept secrets in the competition scene. He doesn’t have the accolades of Sousa but I think he gets the win here by decision.

Brendan Allen (+210) vs Rida Haisam Isaac (-260)

Prediction: Brendan fights in the UFC and he very physical but Rida is a beast and very dangerous with submissions. Rida should win here by submission or decision. He is by far the more dangerous submission artist. Very nasty leg locks.

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Coach Ben Z is a first-degree jiu-jitsu black belt, certified strength and conditioning specialist, and certified sports nutritionist. He is currently the head of the SCHOOL BJJ Association. Coach Ben has worked with athletes in the UFC, NHL, and Professional Boxing. He specializes in sports performance and weight cutting for competition.

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